"According to the latest NBC News/ Wall Street Journal survey … 50 percent of voters favor Barack Obama, while 45 percent plan to vote for Mitt Romney." See "Could This Man Cost Romney the White House?", Lee Brodie, CNBC, 2012-09-20.
That may look favorable for Obama, but note that some voters "favor" him while others "plan to vote" for Romney. Will all those who "favor" Obama actually show up and vote? If history is any guide, there will be lots of no-shows on the Democratic side.
